Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd17 jul 26, 04:01 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Thinking Machines acquired by Apple before 2031?
Manifold MarketsThinking Machines Lab releases product before Safe Superintelligence?
Manifold MarketsWill Meta or Thinking Machines have a stronger model by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegels
ARR, at any point before 2029.
- If either company is acquired / merged into some other larger company, we'll vibe-resolve with 2029 AI (it will be very smart)
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.6pt70.7%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt13.1%
- Grok+0.8pt7.1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 50,3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,-1.0pt89%
- December 31,-3.5pt88%
- November 30,-6.5pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$900B+10.4pt100%
- ↑$1.0T-4.5pt82%
- ↑$1.25T-4.5pt57%
+12 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude+1.0pt91.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 60,6K
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+2.0pt91.4%
- Grok+1.0pt1.9%
- Gemini1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 425,5K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-9.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt84%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Sep 7–13
- Most popular AI this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Thinking Machines surpass Anthropic in revenue before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: ARR, at any point before 2029.