Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 76.2%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
16 mei 26, 19:03 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many critical severity cyber vulnerabilities will be found in December 2026?
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KalshiOpenAI market share this week
KalshiRegels
Mythos class AI has brought fears of a cyberpocalypse where AI systems hack the entire internet.
- This question attempts to quantify the danger.
- Resolves to CVEs as per https://nvd.nist.gov/vuln/search#/nvd/home?resultType=statistics
- To quantify "many more" I took the trend (not counting 2026 as it's not over yet) and tried to extrapolate where it would be in 2027.
- Given that in 2025 there was still no Mythos or GPT-5.5 I consider those numbers to be "untainted" by AI assistance.
- According to analyses by chatgpt-5.5-thinking (which didn't know what the numbers are referring to so as not to bias it's thinking) above 90k would be "suspiciously high", therefore, this resolves YES if NIST reports more than or equal to 90,000 CVEs in 2027.
