Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 64%
Voorspellers
11
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd17 dec 22, 17:08 UTC31 dec 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine acquire nuclear weapons by the end of 2028, depending on the outcome of the U.S. presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWill any of the UN’s Security Council permanent members leave the Non-Proliferation Treaty by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Currently, there are nine states who are generally considered to posess nuclear weapons.
- Will the number be higher at any time until end of year 2028?
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+7.0pt81.4%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt16.7%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.8pt1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 58,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 290,2K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.6pt2%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.5pt96%
- Yes-0.5pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 36,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 129,1K
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+1.5pt63%
- December-1.5pt41%
- October+3.5pt27%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 64% per 18 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be further proliferation of nuclear weapons until 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Currently, there are nine states who are generally considered to posess nuclear weapons.