Will there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2040?
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Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67.6%
Voorspellers
33
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd23 dec 23, 19:50 UTC1 jan 41, 22:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to 'Yes' if, by December 31, 2040, evidence of extraterrestrial life is presented, satisfying the following criteria:
- Publication in a Recognized Scientific Journal: The evidence must be featured in at least one peer-reviewed publication in a high-impact scientific journal of notable academic reputation.
- Fields relevant to this evidence include astronomy, astrobiology, or related scientific disciplines.
- Journals such as 'Nature' and 'Science' are exemplary, but other journals of similar stature are also acceptable.
- Confirmation by Space Exploration Authorities: The evidence must be independently confirmed or endorsed by at least two reputable space exploration agencies or governmental bodies.
- These may include NASA (United States), ESA (European Space Agency), Roscosmos (Russia), CNSA (China National Space Administration), or ISRO (Indian Space Research Organisation).
