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Verouderd21 mei 24, 08:49 UTC31 dec 29, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Criteria for Resolution:
- Assassination Attempt: An assassination attempt is defined as any deliberate action intended to kill the CEO of a major AI lab.
- The attempt must be publicly reported and confirmed by credible sources, such as news agencies, law enforcement reports, or official statements from the affected company.
- Major AI Labs: Currently, the definition of major AI labs for this question includes OpenAI, Anthropic, and DeepMind.
- As time progresses, new labs can be added or removed from this list, but the labs must be generally considered top-tier in the AI research and development field.
- The total number of labs on the list will not exceed five at any given time.
Open markten
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.1pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+2.1pt14.9%
- Gemini-3.0pt9.3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 124,1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt76%
- December 15,+6.0pt73%
- November 30,+2.0pt52%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt98%
- October 31-1.2pt97%
- September 30+5.0pt94%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+5.5pt92%
- Moonshot-4.9pt7%
- Z.ai-0.5pt1%
+8 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 98% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be an assassination attempt on a CEO of a major AI lab by January 1, 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Criteria for Resolution: