Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81.8%
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102
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd14 mei 22, 01:21 UTC1 jan 30, 06:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves yes if there is a state of war between Ukraine and Russia or Russian-backed separatists.
- Unless they have a permanent ceasefire and <10 fatalities per year, like Korea.
- Regardless of treaties, the war "ends" when there is a 1 year period with <10 combat fatalities.