Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90.5%
Voorspellers
227
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd3 mrt 26, 04:02 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill America send troops to Iran?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will deploy troops to Ukraine in 2026?
FutuurIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
PolymarketIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026.
- Resolves to a consensus of popular reporting.
- If there's an estimate like "about a thousand", that will be adequate, I don't want to litigate which of two independent estimates of 950 or 1050 troops are more accurate; I'll resolve in the spirit of the question.
- I will not bet in this market (after initial bet to a reasonable probability).
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 91% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026.