Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 09:52 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 91.4%
Voorspellers
227
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd3 mrt 26, 04:02 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US deploy ground groups to Iran by which date?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia deploy troops into Iran by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill America send troops to Iran?
Manifold MarketsIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
PolymarketWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketIf Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if at least 1000 ground troops are deployed in Iran in 2026.
- Resolves to a consensus of popular reporting.
- If there's an estimate like "about a thousand", that will be adequate, I don't want to litigate which of two independent estimates of 950 or 1050 troops are more accurate; I'll resolve in the spirit of the question.
- I will not bet in this market (after initial bet to a reasonable probability).