
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China overtake the US in frontier AI by EOY 2030?
Will there be a significant advancement in frontier AI model architecture by end of year 2026?
will a paper released *before 2030* by a frontier AI lab have one of their AIs as a co-author?
Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?
Regels
Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that, during 2029, the United Kingdom had significantly greater overall access to US frontier AI than France.
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