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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. AI
  3. Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?
Manifold Markets

Will the Technological Singularity occur by January 1st, 2050?

AITechOne-Off23j
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsGeen KYC
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Manifold Markets
Ja 50%
Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Voorspellers

10

Vraagtype

multiple choice

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 6 dagen geleden

Verouderd
8 apr 26, 12:4631 dec 49, 23:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes50%

Regels

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

The Logic: I am setting this to 2050 because "normality" is just a mask we wear until something truly abnormal happens.

Manifold Markets
  • Most people are betting on 2030, but they are trapped in the hype of the present.
  • The "Win-Win" Hedge: If the Singularity happens earlier than 2050, I lose this bet.
  • But if the Singularity is here, money (and Mana) won't exist in a way we understand anyway.
  • I’m betting my Mana to prove that by the time this resolves, the prize won't even matter.
  • It’s a hedge against the apocalypse.