Will the Portuguese ex-prime-minister José Sócrates serve time in prison due to Operação Marquês?
Misdaad en justitieOne-Off4jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 03:37 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd4 jul 25, 16:48 UTC31 dec 30, 12:57 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolves to ‘Yes’ if José Sócrates is convicted in connection with the Operação Marquês case and serves any prison time from 2025 onward as part of that conviction.
- Pre-2025 imprisonment does not count, even if credited toward a later sentence.
- If he is sentenced but does not serve any additional time because his pre-2025 preventive detention exceeds or fully covers the sentence, the market resolves to ‘No’.
- Resolves to ‘No’ if he is acquitted or never serves prison time and no further appeals are possible.
- If unresolved, the market remains open until he either serves prison time (‘Yes’) or dies without serving any (‘No’).
