Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.4%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
29 dec 24, 17:26 UTC6 jan 16, 04:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the next Millennium problem solved be solved by Chinese AI?
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Manifold MarketsWill the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnother Frontier Math Problem Solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegels
The Millennium Prize Problems are seven of the most challenging unsolved problems in mathematics, established by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000.
- Only one problem, the Poincaré Conjecture, has been solved to date (by Grigori Perelman in 2003).
- The remaining problems are the Riemann Hypothesis, P versus NP, Yang-Mills and Mass Gap, Navier-Stokes Existence and Smoothness, Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, and Hodge Conjecture.
- Resolution Criteria
- Resolves YES if a human mathematician or team of mathematicians solves one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems without significant AI assistance
- Resolves NO if an AI system generates the accepted solution
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
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KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
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- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
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KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human? afgewikkeld?
- Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human? wordt naar verwachting op 6 januari 2216 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the next Millennium problem to be solved be solved by a human? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The Millennium Prize Problems are seven of the most challenging unsolved problems in mathematics, established by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000.