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AI lab 96.9%+16.5pt
Voorspellers
63
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
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7d wijziging
+16.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
21 dec 25, 05:01 UTC31 dec 99, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegels
Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.
- But which vibe will win credit in the public eye?
- It's Google DeepMind, that's an the named outcome.
- If it's Terrence Tao using GPT-6, that's a the named outcome.
- If it's David Budden using Claude, that's an the named outcome.
- If the people involved are professors at a university, that's probably a the named outcome.
Open markten
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 135,2K
- 24u volume
- € 102,7K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 325K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department??
- Manifold Markets prijst AI lab op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? afgewikkeld?
- Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2099 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.