Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 92%
Voorspellers
45
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd3 okt 23, 23:35 UTC2 jan 30, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
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PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
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PolymarketRegels
Ending this market in 2030, as the latest IRB report estimates this as the launch date.
- https://spacenews.com/nasa-mars-sample-return-budget-and-schedule-unrealistic-independent-review-concludes/
- [link preview]Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications:
- If the mission is NASA-led and has a primary purpose of retrieving samples, it is considered MSR.
- Missions where the primary purpose is not sample return (e.g., humans landing on Mars) do not count as MSR.
- Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarifications: