Will China successfully complete a Mars Sample Return mission before the USA and Europe do?
ChinaOne-OffRuimtevaart13j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 58.7%
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13
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd3 apr 23, 02:34 UTC1 jan 40, 15:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves when either party has Martian soil/rock samples in their possession on Earth.
- Resolves NA if either party completes a human Mars mission.
- June 2024 update: clarifying that if Europe is not involved this question can still resolve NO if the US alone is successful.
