Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 70%
Voorspellers
6
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd8 jul 26, 20:01 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiWhich bills will become law in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
GAAIA is a bipartisan bill in Congress being proposed by Jay Obernolte (R-CA) and Lori Trahan (D-MA).
- Here is an article about the substance by Charlie Bullock: https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/congress-should-do-something--the-case-for-(fixing)-the-great-american-ai-act
- I can't really figure out what the status is.
- This market uses an expansive definition of "become law".
- It resolves YES if the bill is passed and becomes law in 2026, even if it is somewhat watered down or modified, as long as it remains an AI regulation and/or preemption bill.
- It also resolves YES if the bill's substantive provisions are fully folded into another bill which becomes law, though it resolves NO if only super dumb and toothless provisions make it in.
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 70% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: GAAIA is a bipartisan bill in Congress being proposed by Jay Obernolte (R-CA) and Lori Trahan (D-MA).