Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 76.2%
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211
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd16 dec 24, 02:35 UTC1 jan 30, 21:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran fall?
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FutuurUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if by January 1st 2030, the revolutionary regime in the Islamic Republic of Iran collapses, by international media consensus.
- Of course, death of Ali Khamenei in itself does not count as a regime change.
- Update 2025-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated the essence of the resolution criteria is whether the people in control of Tehran or most of Iran are still Ayatollahs or hold a similar Shiite-muslim religious title.
