Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 95%
Nee 95%Voorspellers
57
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd10 feb 24, 13:15 UTC31 dec 26, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100?
Manifold MarketsBart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2038
Manifold MarketsRegels
If someone/something manages to manipulate the ASI to proclaim Christianity to be true, that won't count.
- It has to arrive at the conclusion freely.
- A minimum requirement is that it must come to the conclusion that Jesus performed genuine miracles -- although proclaiming Christianity to be true will involve more than just that.
