Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 70.8%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd25 nov 24, 19:03 UTC31 dec 99, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRegels
Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.
- For reference, this would be 31% as of 2024.
- Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.
Open markten
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,5K
- 24u volume
- € 9,5K
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 9,2K
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 118K
- 24u volume
- € 4,3
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Totaal volume
- € 797,6
- 24u volume
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 674,1
- 24u volume
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1
- 24u volume
- —
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? afgewikkeld?
- What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2099 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.