Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer?
AIOne-Off3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 80.7%
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Verouderd17 mrt 25, 23:31 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?
- Resolves based on my personal judgement, in particular whether it is cost- and time-effective for ZeroPath to use it to replace one of our engineers (or accomplish the same amount with fewer people).
- Example tasks it should be capable of:
- "Fix this error we're getting on BetterStack."
- "Move our Redis cache from DigitalOcean to AWS."
- "Add and implement a cancellation feature for ZeroPath scans."
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- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
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+3 extra uitkomsten
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- € 135,2K
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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- Grok2.8%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 81% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? afgewikkeld?
- Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the first AI model that saturates Humanity's Last Exam be employable as a software engineer? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will the first AI model that receives a score of 75 or higher be capable (with an agent scaffolding) of replacing a software engineer?