Will the Fed cut the federal funds rate at its July 2026 FOMC meeting?

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in September?

• No change-4.0pt68.3%
• 25 bps increase+4.0pt30.7%
• 25 bps decrease1%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 36,7 mln.

24u volume

€ 2,4 mln.

KALSHI

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

• Fed maintains rate-3.0pt66%
• Hike 25bps+3.0pt31.1%
• Cut 25bps1%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 10,1 mln.

POLYMARKET

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0+0.4pt86.1%
• 1 (259.9%
• 2 (50-0.4pt3%

+10 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

• Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt83.3%
• Exactly 1 cut-1.1pt9.8%
• Exactly 2 cuts-0.2pt2%

+18 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)

Fed rate decision in September 2026

• Fed maintains rate+1.0pt64.4%
• Hike 25bps28.8%
• Cut 25bps+1.0pt2.7%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 138,6K

POLYMARKET

Fed Decision in October?

• No change70.6%
• 25 bps increase23.5%
• 25 bps decrease+0.3pt3.9%

+2 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume