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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
4 aug 26, 03:21 UTC23 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill a majority of the Fed vote to raise rates by Sept. 16?
PredictItWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announces a reduction of exactly 25 basis points (0.25 percentage points) to the target range for the federal funds rate at its next meeting concluding after August 4, 2026.
- As of August 2026, the target range is 3.50%–3.75%.
- A 25 basis point cut would lower this range to 3.25%–3.50%.
- This market will resolve to NO if the FOMC maintains the current rate, increases the rate, or reduces the rate by any other increment (such as 50 basis points).
- The "next meeting" refers to the next FOMC meeting to announce a rate decision, which is scheduled for September 15–16, 2026.
Open markten
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,6 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 45,5K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 997K
- 24u volume
- € 41,2K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Gerelateerde crypto's
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting? wordt naar verwachting op 23 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria