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Verouderd24 apr 25, 21:34 UTC25 mrt 29, 00:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Smallest viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
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KalshiRegels
Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
- Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
- Definition of "mainstream" Parties:
- Included as "mainstream": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
- Not included as "mainstream": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party) Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
- "Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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+38 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 66% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) afgewikkeld?
- Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) wordt naar verwachting op 25 maart 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?