Zal SpaceX's Starship Superheavy-draagraket 500 totale succesvolle lanceringen bereiken vóór 1 januari 2030?
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Verouderd25 apr 23, 03:04 UTC31 dec 29, 14:00 UTC
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KalshiRegels
I'm considering the first IFT "Not Successful", in that it didn't insert Starship into a near-orbital trajectory.
- Even though personally I think it was a successful data gathering flight.
- The guiding principle for success is something like "Did this flight prove to customers their payload will go where they want it to go?".
- Essentially, will SpaceX make 500 launches that a customer would consider proves satisfactory reliability and safety of the system by Jan 1st 2030.
- Clarified criteria:
- A "successful launch" means any launch in which: