Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83%
Voorspellers
46
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd11 mei 25, 00:09 UTC1 jan 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketWill any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by which date?
PolymarketRussia to take Kyiv by force in 2026?
FutuurRegels
i will resolve this market according to my subjective opinion. i will try to consider and understand the opinions of people commenting on this market.
- i will not trade on this market.
- if any of the conditions below apply for >=7 days before 2030, the market resolves "yes".
- if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves "yes".
- if ukraine gov seems very pro russia to me in or before 2030, i will then resolve to "yes".
- Update 2025-05-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the condition "if russia occupies kyiv or control it militarily for >=7 days this market resolves 'yes'", the >=7 days must be consecutive.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 423,4K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,4K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 83% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will russia occupy kyiv at any point before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: i will resolve this market according to my subjective opinion. i will try to consider and understand the opinions of people commenting on this market.