Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 93.7%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 32 minuten geleden
5 okt 26, 10:32 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2030 (12:00 AM UTC), Russian military forces launch a physical invasion of the sovereign land territory of the United Kingdom (Great Britain and Northern Ireland).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, an "invasion" is defined as:
- The entry of Russian armed forces (regular land, sea, or air combat troops) onto UK land territory with hostile intent, for combat, or for the purpose of military occupation.
- The event must be officially recognized or reported as an invasion, armed incursion, or hostile military landing on UK soil by the UK Government, the United Nations, or at least three major international news organizations (e.g., Reuters, BBC, Associated Press, Bloomberg).
