Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?
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Verouderd12 feb 25, 14:39 UTC15 aug 29, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.
- In early February 2025, a YouGov poll placed Reform UK at 25%, ahead of both Labour (24%) and the Conservatives (21%).
- The party is particularly attracting former Conservative voters, with about 33% of past Conservative voters considering Reform UK.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if both of the following conditions are met:
- Reform UK has the highest percentage in the final YouGov voting intention poll conducted before the next UK general election
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 82% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose? afgewikkeld?
- Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose? wordt naar verwachting op 15 augustus 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.