Huidige impliciete kans
March 31, 2027 28%-2.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
68 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 5,8K
Liquiditeit
€ 13K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
19.0% / 20.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
23
7d wijziging
+5.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
24 jun 26, 09:44 UTC1 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK Leader before 1st March 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?
Manifold MarketsNigel Farage Exit Date
SmarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiNext Reform Leader
SmarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.