What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingEuropa2j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
One or more Conservative MPs defect to Reform UK 100%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
One or more Conservative MPs defect to Reform UK 100%Voorspellers
33
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 minuten geleden
12 jul 24, 17:20 UTC30 jun 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge? Will there be many defections from one to the other? Will they form an electoral pact in the next election?
- Please feel free to request additional answers to be added.
- I've decided to keep control over adding answers so I can make sure they're worded in a way that is either unambiguous or that I am happy to arbitrate on, but I'm very open to suggestions.
- I'm inclined not to add lots of options for individual Conservative MPs defecting to Reform UK just because there's so many of them.
- Maybe a separate market for that?
- For the ones about defections, they need to cross from one party to the other.
