Will "Quotes from the Stargate press conference" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "Quotes from the Stargate press conference" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 95.2% per 20 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will "Quotes from the Stargate press conference" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Will "Quotes from the Stargate press conference" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will "Quotes from the Stargate press conference" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.4pt4%
• October 311%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 66,2 mln.

24u volume

€ 89,7K

KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
• Before Jan 1, 202814%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+0.1pt4.3%

KALSHI

Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?

• United States-1.5pt56.5%
• China+0.1pt30.6%
• Russia+0.1pt

KALSHI

Will Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?

• Yes75.5%
• No24.5%

Totaal volume

€ 18,6K

24u volume

€ 10K

POLYMARKET

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

• Nigeria+46.0pt94%
• South Sudan34%
• Republic of the Congo25%

+10 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

POLYMARKET

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

• 4,189.3 or 4,189.4+2.0pt84.3%
• Below 4,189.3+6.5pt13.7%
• 4,189.5 or 4,189.6-1.6pt2%

+1 extra uitkomsten

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