Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 71%
Voorspellers
58
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd7 nov 22, 04:39 UTC31 dec 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
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ForecastExRegels
They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.
Open markten
US Politics
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+5.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 1,6 mln.
KALSHITexas Senate winner?
- James Talarico+5.0pt57%
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- Totaal volume
- € 11,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 623,8K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party88%
- Republican Party12%
- Totaal volume
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- Democrats sweep+4.0pt58.4%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.7%
- Republicans sweep-3.0pt10.9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWho will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Scott Jennings+2.0pt19.6%
- Anna Kelly-2.0pt16.1%
- Maria Bartiromo-14.0pt6.3%
+43 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.2pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Florida Governor winner?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 71% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: They must be able to get married in that state, not just have their marriage recognized from elsewhere.