Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd15 jul 25, 16:48 UTC31 dec 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will polygamous marriage be legal in any US state by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill gay marriage be legal in every US state in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill any country legally recognise human–AI romantic partnerships by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketRegels
A law affirming this status or sufficiently clear case law will count for a YES resolution.
- Lack of law forbidding it will count as NO unless there are examples of that government allowing and recognizing human-AI marriages in practice.
- Civil partnerships or other "marriage by another name" statuses will count as NO for resolution.
Open markten
AIKALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.05%+3.0pt99%
- Above 2.25%-1.0pt97%
- Above 2.65%+21.0pt94%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 116K
- 24u volume
- € 99,3K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.6pt70.6%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt14.7%
- Gemini-0.3pt6.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
- Alibaba-5.0pt69%
- Moonshot-5.5pt14%
- Z.ai-2.4pt6%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt87%
- December 15,83%
- November 30,+2.0pt80%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+3.0pt87.1%
- Moonshot-2.9pt8.9%
- Z.ai-0.8pt2%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 2.7%+4.0pt96%
- Above 4.5%+31.0pt54%
- Above 5.6%+6.0pt12%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will human-AI marriage be legal in at least one country before 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: A law affirming this status or sufficiently clear case law will count for a YES resolution.