KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 55%
Marktkwaliteit
81 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 204,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
16 dec 25, 16:00 UTC1 feb 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 45%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 6 procentpunten uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie 45% · 2 platforms · 6 pt spreiding tussen venues
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,6 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 506,4K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 843,4K
- 24u volume
- € 408K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst No op 55% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Blue tsunami in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Blue tsunami in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Blue tsunami in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Blue tsunami in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.