KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 85%+3.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
86 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 10,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 334,6K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
12 dec 25, 15:00 UTC1 feb 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS.
- For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified).
- All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.
- This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 85%.
CoinRithm-referentie 85% · 2 platforms · 0 pt spreiding tussen venues
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.0pt59.8%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt39.2%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 133,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 933,3K
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+2.0pt61%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-1.0pt8%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 15,4 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.4pt4%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 533,3K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.4%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 194,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Blue wave in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst Yes op 85% per 22 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Blue wave in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Blue wave in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Blue wave in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Blue wave in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.