PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 84.2%+1.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
64 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 13
Liquiditeit
€ 10,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
84.0% / 85.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
11
7d wijziging
+7.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
14 jan 26, 00:53 UTC5 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 218 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 49 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 85%.
CoinRithm-referentie 85% · 2 platforms · 0 pt spreiding tussen venues