Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.1%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
27 aug 26, 03:21 UTC30 sep 26, 03:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2026 Time POTY be tangentially related to prediction markets at all?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these AI companies will shut down first?
Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketRegels
Earlier this year, a prediction market conference was forced to leave Las Vegas because Nevada gaming regulators pressured the venue.
- The 51 Alpha Prediction Markets Happy Hour is scheduled for September 29th during the G2E conference.
- This market will resolve YES if the event is forced to cancel, reschedule, or relocate due to casino industry or regulator pressure.
- Media reports and statements by the event organizer will be used to resolve the market.
- If the happy hour occurs on Sept 29 at 5pm PT at the designated venue, then the market will resolve NO.
- The market creator will not trade in this market.
Open markten
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+0.6pt93%
- Yes-0.6pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 210,9K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-6.0pt80%
- December 15,-4.5pt78%
- November 30,-16.5pt61%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIWho will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Paramount+16.0pt96.9%
- None before July 2027-16.0pt2.1%
- Netflix-2.0pt1%
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-3.0pt24.8%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-1.0pt20.8%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-4.0pt16.8%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt68%
- Before May 1, 2027+6.0pt50%
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt46%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Florida State vs Alabama
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- LSU vs Ole Miss
- Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will 'Old Vegas' shut down the 51 Alpha prediction markets happy hour??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 19 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will 'Old Vegas' shut down the 51 Alpha prediction markets happy hour? afgewikkeld?
- Will 'Old Vegas' shut down the 51 Alpha prediction markets happy hour? wordt naar verwachting op 30 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will 'Old Vegas' shut down the 51 Alpha prediction markets happy hour? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Earlier this year, a prediction market conference was forced to leave Las Vegas because Nevada gaming regulators pressured the venue.