Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07?
One-OffETFExchangeBusiness & Corporate2mnd
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 56.9%
Voorspellers
1
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd8 nov 24, 22:09 UTC8 nov 26, 07:59 UTC
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On the Money Stuff column on 7th November, Matt Levine wrote:
- “Design a product for retail investors who want to use prediction markets as a savings device” strikes me as a very good exercise for the reader, and I expect that within two years I will be writing about a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund.
- Will this prediction come true?
- Resolves Yes if Matt Levine talks about the existence of prediction market ETFs on Money Stuff, or an 'equivalent' outlet (eg.
- Money Stuff gets bought out from Bloomberg by another news organisation, or spins off into a separate blog/substack which is Matt Levine's primary outlet.
- Basically not if he tweets about it or mentions it off-hand in an interview or podcast or something), as one of the 'main stories' and not under 'Things happen' (or equivalent)
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 57% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07? afgewikkeld?
- Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07? wordt naar verwachting op 8 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Matt Levine write about "a buy-and-hold prediction-markets exchange-traded fund" before 2026-11-07? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: On the Money Stuff column on 7th November, Matt Levine wrote: