Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes?
FedOne-OffCommoditiesChinaBusiness & Corporate1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 61.4%
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Verouderd4 mei 26, 17:53 UTC31 mei 28, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market resolves YES if Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.0 million tonnes.
- Settlement is May 31, 2028 — the close pushes ~5 months past year-end so the producer's full-year financial report and December 2027 monthly print are well-published before resolution.
- Norsk Hydro is the largest primary aluminum producer in Europe, with smelters at Karmøy, Sunndal, Husnes, Årdal, Høyanger, and the joint-venture Qatalum (Qatar) and Slovalco (Slovakia, idled).
- Total primary aluminum production capacity is roughly 2 Mt/yr, mostly hydropower-fed. 2024 output stayed near capacity.
- The 2.0 Mt strike for 2027 reflects the run-rate without new investment.
- Resolution sources (priority order):
Open markten
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 34,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,6 mln.
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Totaal volume
- € 3,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 45,5K
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Totaal volume
- € 997K
- 24u volume
- € 41,2K
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 61% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes? afgewikkeld?
- Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes? wordt naar verwachting op 31 mei 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.0 million tonnes? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if Norsk Hydro's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 (January 1 – December 31, 2027) exceeds 2.0 million tonnes.