Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90.3%
Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 uur geleden
Verouderd10 sep 25, 22:39 UTC1 jan 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsAnother politically motivated* assassination of a notable* English-speaking influencer within a year of Charlie Kirk's?
Manifold MarketsLeopold Aschenbrenner charged by which date?
PolymarketWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiMichael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if criminal charges are brought against more than one person for the assassination of Charlie Kirk, including the shooter or any co-conspirators.
- Such charges may include murder, conspiracy, possession of an illegal firearm, aiding and abetting, etc. Resolves NO if some authority declares the suspected shooter to have acted alone, or if the lone suspect completes all trials before criminal charges are brought against any other person.
- ~~Also resolves NO if the case goes cold; i.e. no charges are brought by 1/1/2028.~~
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,5K
- 24u volume
- € 27,4K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 497,4K
- 24u volume
- € 12,5K
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 676K
- 24u volume
- € 8,2K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 4,6K
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Totaal volume
- € 577,2K
- 24u volume
- € 3,7K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? afgewikkeld?
- Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if criminal charges are brought against more than one person for the assassination of Charlie Kirk, including the shooter or any co-conspirators.