Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.9%
Voorspellers
37
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd2 mei 24, 19:17 UTC1 jan 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Drake be found guilty of a crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be found personally guilty of a crime in the United States before the end of 2028?
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Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be found guilty of a felony in a US court
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PolymarketMaduro guilty of all counts?
PolymarketRegels
Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that they would likely not count a misdemeanor, such as a traffic violation, as a crime for the purpose of resolution.
- Update 2025-08-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that a misdemeanor will be considered a crime for resolution purposes.
- However, an infraction may not count.
