Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 99%
Voorspellers
95
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd12 jul 23, 17:10 UTC31 dec 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When (if ever) will AI cause human extinction?
Manifold MarketsWill @levifinkelstein cause human extinction by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Google DeepMind cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Inflection.ai cause human extinction in the next 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegels
@Mira is developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will @Mira cause human extinction by 2030?
- The market will resolve as YES if:
- @Mira 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
- The market will resolve as NO if any of:
- Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.
