Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 55 minuten geleden
Vertraagd13 jul 23, 15:00 UTC31 dec 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
@levifinkelstein developing powerful AI systems which may be powerful enough to cause human extinction, by misuse or by misalignment.
- Will @levifinkelstein n cause human extinction by 2030?
- The market will resolve as YES if:
- @levifinkelstein 's actions directly lead to the extinction of humanity by the end of 2030.
- The market will resolve as NO if:
- Human extinction is caused by another entity or circumstance before 2030.
