Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 73.4%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd1 aug 26, 16:23 UTC1 jan 27, 00:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by which date?
PolymarketCuba's Miguel Díaz-Canel captured or killed in 2026
Manifold MarketsDíaz-Canel still President of Cuba through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.
- Currently this is First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel.
- If there is a complicated messy civil war, this goes by who controls the capital and governing apparatus.
- I intend to go by a similar standard to the late CIA World Factbook (RIP) or the Wikipedia infobox, though I don't commit to matching them if they're outdated or inaccurate.
- (Identical market to: source market)
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 423,4K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,4K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 73% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The leader is whoever the de facto leader of Cuba is, regardless of their specific job title.