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Nee 93.3%
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40
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd3 jan 23, 19:17 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the US or Israel use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran use Nuclear weapons?
Manifold MarketsHouthi military action against Israel by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
It will be resolved YES if a reliable source reports that Iran has fired a nuclear weapon at Israel (it doesn't matter where the launch was and it doesn't matter if the missile is intercepted on his way).
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+7.0pt81.4%
- New People (NL)-3.6pt16.7%
- Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)-0.8pt1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 58,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 290,2K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-3.0pt10%
- September 30-1.6pt2%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No+0.5pt96%
- Yes-0.5pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 36,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 129,1K
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+1.5pt63%
- December-1.5pt41%
- October+3.5pt27%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 93% per 18 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: It will be resolved YES if a reliable source reports that Iran has fired a nuclear weapon at Israel (it doesn't matter where the launch was and it doesn't matter if the missile is intercepted on his way).