Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.6%
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd22 jun 25, 17:30 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Who will win the civil war in Sudan?
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Manifold MarketsSudan civil war ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketWill there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?
FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegels
There is speculation that the strikes on Iran will destabilize it and lead to a civil war.
- Resolves yes if before 2028 there is a wikipedia page describing an Iranian civil war, no otherwise
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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+5 extra uitkomsten
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
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- Yes+0.2pt4%
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- 24u volume
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
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- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iran have a civil war before the start of 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: There is speculation that the strikes on Iran will destabilize it and lead to a civil war.