Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 70% per 8 september 2026.

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

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Nee 70.3%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden

Verouderd

9 feb 24, 14:06 UTC1 mrt 31, 22:59 UTC

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Regels

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.

This device must be under the sovereign control of the Iranian State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
Different countries:
@/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons
@/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
@/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

GeopolitiekOne-OffMiddle East China Latin America Tech4j

Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerd

Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling

Nee 70.3%

Voorspellers

Vraagtype

binary

Methodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Brontype

Voorspelling

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden

Verouderd

9 feb 24, 14:06 UTC1 mrt 31, 22:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gerelateerde Markten

Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.

Will Germany acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Manifold Markets

Will Indonesia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Manifold Markets

Will Australia acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Manifold Markets

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Polymarket

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

Kalshi

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Kalshi

Regels

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.

This device must be under the sovereign control of the Iranian State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
Different countries:
@/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons
@/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
@/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we

Meld een dataprobleem met deze markt

Veelgestelde vragen

Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??: Manifold Markets prijst No op 70% per 8 september 2026.
Wanneer wordt Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? afgewikkeld?: Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2031 afgewikkeld.
Hoe wordt Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? afgewikkeld?: Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iran has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?

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