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Verouderd21 jan 25, 10:07 UTC1 jan 27, 21:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
[Metaculus] Will there be a direct conflict between Russia and any NATO member state before 2027?
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PolymarketRegels
Iceland is a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), which allows for the free movement of goods, services, and people between Iceland and the European Union (EU).
- However, Iceland is not a member of the EU itself.
- Here are some key points about Iceland's relationship with the EU:
- * Iceland is part of the Schengen Area, allowing for passport-free travel between Iceland and other Schengen countries.
- * Iceland is a member of the European Free Trade Association (EFTA), which allows for the free movement of goods with EU member states.
- * Iceland has a bilateral agreement with the EU, the European Economic Area Agreement (EEA Agreement), which grants Iceland access to the EU's single market.
Open markten
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 494,6K
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 809,3K
- 24u volume
- € 123,4K
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Iceland remain a Non-EU member state by the year 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Iceland is a member of the European Economic Area (EEA), which allows for the free movement of goods, services, and people between Iceland and the European Union (EU).