Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 75.1%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd16 dec 24, 02:36 UTC31 dec 26, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will mail-order mifepristone access be restricted nationwide?
KalshiWill estradiol be available over-the-counter in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketMeasles cases in 2026?
KalshiWill a human walk on the Moon again before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.
- This market will resolve YES if, at any point before 2027, it becomes impractical for me to obtain estradiol for at least one month.
- It will resolve N/A if I move to a different state before 2027 or if Texas ceases to exist.
Open markten
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.3pt97%
- Yes-0.3pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 13,1K
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-1.0pt11%
- December 31, 2026-0.3pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,7K
- 24u volume
- € 4,7K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+7.0pt98%
- Above 6000+4.0pt62%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 904,2K
POLYMARKETFDA approves Retatrutide this year?
- No-2.0pt95%
- Yes+2.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 513,1K
- 24u volume
- € 2,1K
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14K
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhich countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
- Nigeria+17.0pt20%
- Rwanda13%
- Republic of the Congo7%
+13 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,9K
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
- New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I lose access to estradiol before 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I currently reside in Texas and rely on exogenous estradiol for hormonal therapy.