Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 83.6%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd25 jan 26, 07:03 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Brigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiMacron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
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PolymarketRegels
I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.
- My typical response to threats to sue for defamation is to refuse, and perhaps publish even more negative information about that party in response.
- (My two brushes with the risk so far have been my TCG-Con article where they threatened to sue me and never followed through, and my tangential involvement with the vexatious litigant Oliver Smith; I offered to host on my website one of the articles that he kept trying to get taken down via legal threats, but ended up not doing this because it stayed up elsewhere.)
- This has not caused any problems for me so far, and nobody has ever actually sued me.
- However, that may not remain the case forever.
- I will include for this purposes of this market suits that are technically not "for defamation", but are clearly in response to me publishing information that the other party did not like.
Open markten
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 10,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 25,8K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt25%
- October 31-2.5pt11%
- September 30-0.6pt3%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- John Brennan-1.0pt52%
- Leon Black31%
- Anthony Fauci-4.0pt25%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4 mln.
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+23.0pt76.5%
- 60+-23.0pt13.3%
- <20-1.4pt8.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWho will be arrested before 2027?
- John Brennan27%
- Mahmoud Khalil+0.5pt19%
- James Clapper12%
+21 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETSBF released from custody in 2026?
- No-0.1pt98%
- Yes+0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 398,4K
- 24u volume
- € 1,7K
- Jimmy Lai released by which date?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- Jack Doherty Prison Time?
- Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by which date?
- Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 84% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? afgewikkeld?
- Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I be sued for defamation before the end of the decade? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I strongly dislike people who (I feel) abuse the legal system.