Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 81%
Voorspellers
92
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd30 jan 24, 21:55 UTC2 jan 30, 12:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland become independent in 2026?
FutuurWill Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill West Papua be independent by 2030?
Manifold MarketsUS x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030.
- Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes.
- "Official" means "according to both Greenland and Danish governments".
- If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.
- Greenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 423,4K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,4K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 81% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030.