Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 67% per 31 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? afgewikkeld?

Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2200 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: @/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-2.8pt53.3%
• Claude+1.0pt36.2%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt7.1%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 14,5 mln.

24u volume

€ 129,3K

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-1.8pt94%
• ↑$1.75T+6.0pt85%
• ↑$2.0T+1.0pt71%

+11 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt30.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.1pt18.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T-3.0pt17.3%

+7 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.6pt100%
• Alibaba0%
• Amazon0%

+18 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-5.7pt34%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027+0.3pt23%
• 1.25T–1.5T-1.0pt11%

+4 extra uitkomsten

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-4.0pt56.7%
• Anthropic+3.0pt35%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6.2%

+12 extra uitkomsten

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