Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A?

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Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 67% per 28 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? afgewikkeld?

Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2200 afgewikkeld.

Hoe wordt Will Eliezer's "If Artificial General Intelligence has an okay outcome, what will be the reason?" market resolve N/A? afgewikkeld?

Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: @/EliezerYudkowsky/if-artificial-general-intelligence

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+1.6pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,-2.0pt87%

+15 extra uitkomsten

Totaal volume

€ 5,4 mln.

24u volume

€ 111,6K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt30.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.8pt22.3%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt15.5%

+7 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-4.9pt55.9%
• Gemini+6.3pt34.2%
• ChatGPT+0.4pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.7pt98%
• Anthropic-5.4pt2%
• Alibaba-0.1pt0%

+18 extra uitkomsten

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Mar 1, 202795%
• Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt96.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• $1.5T–$1.75T+5.0pt21.6%
• <$1T-8.4pt21.6%
• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.8pt20.6%

+5 extra uitkomsten

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• How much will Anthropic raise in its IPO?
• Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)